<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Who Are the Respondents?<\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n- Total Respondents:<\/strong> 6,999<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Gender Breakdown:<\/strong> Female: 3,918 | Male: 3,075<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
![\"Respondets](\"https:\/\/www.questionpro.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/2024-Best-accurate-election-poll-harris-vs-trump.jpg\")
<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\nVoting Patterns by Election Year<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
One of the poll’s sections asked respondents who they voted for in previous presidential elections. Here’s a look at how support has shifted over the last two decades:<\/p>\n\n\n\nElection
Year<\/th> Republican Candidate (%)<\/th> Democratic Candidate (%)<\/th> Did Not Vote\/Too Young (%)<\/th><\/tr><\/thead> 2004<\/strong><\/td>35.1% (n=2456)<\/td> 38.5% (n=2694)<\/td> 26.4% (n=1849)<\/td><\/tr> 2008<\/strong><\/td>31.8% (n=2226)<\/td> 41.9% (n=2936)<\/td> 26.2% (n=1837)<\/td><\/tr> 2012<\/strong><\/td>32.4% (n=2268)<\/td> 43.6% (n=3049)<\/td> 24.0% (n=1682)<\/td><\/tr> 2016<\/strong><\/td>38.0% (n=2658)<\/td> 42.5% (n=2978)<\/td> 19.5% (n=1363)<\/td><\/tr> 2020<\/strong><\/td>39.4% (n=2757)<\/td> 48.9% (n=3426)<\/td> 11.7% (n=816)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\nThe data reveals a trend of increasing support for Democratic candidates over the years, with a notable peak in 2020. Interestingly, the percentage of voters not participating due to age or other reasons has steadily decreased, reflecting a more engaged electorate over time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\nTop Issues Influencing Voter Choice<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
The survey asked respondents to select the top three issues most likely to influence their voting decision in the upcoming election. Here\u2019s what topped the list:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Curbing Inflation \/ High Grocery & Gas Prices:<\/strong> 2,935 votes<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Health\/Medicare:<\/strong> 1,954 votes<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Reproductive Rights for Women \/ Abortion Rights \/ Access to Medical Services:<\/strong> 1,847 votes<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n
These results suggest that economic concerns, healthcare, and reproductive rights will play decisive roles in the 2024 election. Economic issues ranked as the most critical concern, reflecting widespread anxieties over inflation and rising costs of living. Health and Medicare issues ranked second, underscoring ongoing discussions around healthcare reform and accessibility. Finally, reproductive rights emerged as a significant concern, especially given recent debates and changes in state-level policies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\nVoter Preferences for 2024: Harris vs. Trump<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
When asked about their preferred candidate if the election were held today, respondents indicated a leaning towards Kamala Harris over Donald Trump:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Kamala Harris:<\/strong> 51.4%<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Donald Trump:<\/strong> 41.0%<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Undecided:<\/strong> 4.1%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
![\"\"](\"https:\/\/www.questionpro.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/2024-election-poll.jpg\")
<\/figure>\n\n\n\nThese numbers provide an early indication of a competitive race, with Harris leading by a notable margin. However, the undecided 4.1% could prove pivotal, highlighting the importance of campaign strategies and candidate outreach in the final stretch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\nIn-Depth Cross-Tab Analysis<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
To offer a deeper understanding of the voting landscape, the survey data is further segmented across various demographic and psychographic dimensions. These cross-tabulations shed light on how different groups align with specific issues, providing nuanced insights beyond overall trends. Here\u2019s a closer look at the various cross-tabs used in the analysis:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Cross-Tab by Personas<\/h4>\n\n\n\n
Our polling includes data cross-tabulated by “personas”\u2014aggregated profiles that capture respondents based on lifestyle, values, and preferences. This segmentation reveals unique trends within specific voter groups, allowing for an examination of how voter intentions, concerns, and candidate preferences align with broader lifestyle identities. Check our dashboard<\/a> to access the complete tables.<\/p>\n\n\n\n![\"Election](\"https:\/\/www.questionpro.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/election-poll-presidential.jpg\")
<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\nCross-Tab for Gender and Age<\/h4>\n\n\n\n
Gender and age cross-tabs provide a clearer picture of demographic divides in this election. The gender cross-tabulation has already highlighted voter preferences, with varying levels of support for candidates and differing issue prioritization between men and women. Age-based cross-tabs reveal patterns in political engagement across generations, allowing us to see how voter concerns shift across age groups, from younger voters\u2019 focus on social issues to older demographics\u2019 emphasis on economic stability and healthcare.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Cross-Tab by Education and Income<\/h4>\n\n\n\n
In addition to gender and age, our survey includes education and income-level cross-tabs, showing how socioeconomic status influences voting behavior and issue prioritization. These categories provide insights into how higher and lower-income voters and those with varying levels of formal education perceive current political issues and align with candidates. Economic cross-tabs are particularly telling this election cycle, as inflation and cost-of-living increases directly impact these groups’ priorities and candidate support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Voting Patterns by Election Year<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
One of the poll’s sections asked respondents who they voted for in previous presidential elections. Here’s a look at how support has shifted over the last two decades:<\/p>\n\n\n\n The data reveals a trend of increasing support for Democratic candidates over the years, with a notable peak in 2020. Interestingly, the percentage of voters not participating due to age or other reasons has steadily decreased, reflecting a more engaged electorate over time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The survey asked respondents to select the top three issues most likely to influence their voting decision in the upcoming election. Here\u2019s what topped the list:<\/p>\n\n\n\n These results suggest that economic concerns, healthcare, and reproductive rights will play decisive roles in the 2024 election. Economic issues ranked as the most critical concern, reflecting widespread anxieties over inflation and rising costs of living. Health and Medicare issues ranked second, underscoring ongoing discussions around healthcare reform and accessibility. Finally, reproductive rights emerged as a significant concern, especially given recent debates and changes in state-level policies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n When asked about their preferred candidate if the election were held today, respondents indicated a leaning towards Kamala Harris over Donald Trump:<\/p>\n\n\n\n These numbers provide an early indication of a competitive race, with Harris leading by a notable margin. However, the undecided 4.1% could prove pivotal, highlighting the importance of campaign strategies and candidate outreach in the final stretch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n To offer a deeper understanding of the voting landscape, the survey data is further segmented across various demographic and psychographic dimensions. These cross-tabulations shed light on how different groups align with specific issues, providing nuanced insights beyond overall trends. Here\u2019s a closer look at the various cross-tabs used in the analysis:<\/p>\n\n\n\n Our polling includes data cross-tabulated by “personas”\u2014aggregated profiles that capture respondents based on lifestyle, values, and preferences. This segmentation reveals unique trends within specific voter groups, allowing for an examination of how voter intentions, concerns, and candidate preferences align with broader lifestyle identities. Check our dashboard<\/a> to access the complete tables.<\/p>\n\n\n Gender and age cross-tabs provide a clearer picture of demographic divides in this election. The gender cross-tabulation has already highlighted voter preferences, with varying levels of support for candidates and differing issue prioritization between men and women. Age-based cross-tabs reveal patterns in political engagement across generations, allowing us to see how voter concerns shift across age groups, from younger voters\u2019 focus on social issues to older demographics\u2019 emphasis on economic stability and healthcare.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In addition to gender and age, our survey includes education and income-level cross-tabs, showing how socioeconomic status influences voting behavior and issue prioritization. These categories provide insights into how higher and lower-income voters and those with varying levels of formal education perceive current political issues and align with candidates. Economic cross-tabs are particularly telling this election cycle, as inflation and cost-of-living increases directly impact these groups’ priorities and candidate support.<\/p>\n\n\n\nElection
Year<\/th>Republican Candidate (%)<\/th> Democratic Candidate (%)<\/th> Did Not Vote\/Too Young (%)<\/th><\/tr><\/thead> 2004<\/strong><\/td> 35.1% (n=2456)<\/td> 38.5% (n=2694)<\/td> 26.4% (n=1849)<\/td><\/tr> 2008<\/strong><\/td> 31.8% (n=2226)<\/td> 41.9% (n=2936)<\/td> 26.2% (n=1837)<\/td><\/tr> 2012<\/strong><\/td> 32.4% (n=2268)<\/td> 43.6% (n=3049)<\/td> 24.0% (n=1682)<\/td><\/tr> 2016<\/strong><\/td> 38.0% (n=2658)<\/td> 42.5% (n=2978)<\/td> 19.5% (n=1363)<\/td><\/tr> 2020<\/strong><\/td> 39.4% (n=2757)<\/td> 48.9% (n=3426)<\/td> 11.7% (n=816)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\nTop Issues Influencing Voter Choice<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\n
\n\n\n\nVoter Preferences for 2024: Harris vs. Trump<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\n
<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\nIn-Depth Cross-Tab Analysis<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Cross-Tab by Personas<\/h4>\n\n\n\n
<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\nCross-Tab for Gender and Age<\/h4>\n\n\n\n
Cross-Tab by Education and Income<\/h4>\n\n\n\n